Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.039048 0.042600 0.046198 0.050108 0.054230 0.058442 0.063063
2025-08-10 0.031723 0.036761 0.042059 0.048020 0.054515 0.061353 0.069071
2025-08-17 0.027078 0.033154 0.039762 0.047423 0.056002 0.065258 0.075944
2025-08-24 0.023413 0.030194 0.037804 0.046868 0.057265 0.068719 0.082193
2025-08-31 0.021540 0.029047 0.037696 0.048229 0.060545 0.074339 0.090802
2025-09-07 0.019773 0.027827 0.037339 0.049161 0.063228 0.079214 0.098535
2025-09-14 0.018103 0.026557 0.036782 0.049737 0.065400 0.083437 0.105485
2025-09-21 0.016461 0.025174 0.035963 0.049887 0.066980 0.086908 0.111525
2025-09-28 0.015580 0.024684 0.036184 0.051255 0.069985 0.092038 0.119509
2025-10-05 0.013936 0.023056 0.034853 0.050595 0.070442 0.094078 0.123801
2025-10-12 0.012777 0.021992 0.034172 0.050686 0.071770 0.097127 0.129273
2025-10-19 0.011984 0.021375 0.034028 0.051424 0.073874 0.101102 0.135855
2025-10-26 0.011374 0.021002 0.034213 0.052618 0.076610 0.105934 0.143597
2025-11-02 0.009774 0.019053 0.032155 0.050775 0.075414 0.105875 0.145359
2025-11-09 0.008774 0.017929 0.031171 0.050306 0.075942 0.107929 0.149697
2025-11-16 0.007860 0.016860 0.030202 0.049803 0.076383 0.109847 0.153853
2025-11-23 0.007578 0.016786 0.030658 0.051256 0.079401 0.115036 0.162105
2025-11-30 0.007192 0.016508 0.030792 0.052244 0.081799 0.119444 0.169400
2025-12-07 0.006738 0.016077 0.030668 0.052852 0.083678 0.123188 0.175874
2025-12-14 0.006210 0.015472 0.030249 0.053012 0.084937 0.126128 0.181336
2025-12-21 0.006016 0.015449 0.030713 0.054438 0.087919 0.131308 0.189662
2025-12-28 0.005368 0.014536 0.029746 0.053752 0.087985 0.132683 0.193138
2026-01-04 0.004938 0.013992 0.029331 0.053848 0.089110 0.135430 0.198367